Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a 70% chance of rain showers. Pockets of light freezing rain possible across the Catskills. Low: 31-36. South wind between 6-12 mph.
Sunday: Partly cloudy. High: 45-50. Southwest wind between 5-10 mph.
Sunday Night: Periods of rain, with rain accumulations between 0.25"-0.5" region wide. Low: 39-44. Breezy south wind between 5-15 mph.
Forecast By: Meteorologist Nick Merianos
Freezing Rain Advisory in effect until 4am for portions of the area.
An upper level disturbance will provide scattered showers across the region through the night, with pockets of light freezing rain across Delaware/ Otsego counties and the Catskills. Temperatures in the aforementioned regions will hover slightly above freezing. With the recent cold weather, many surfaces are below freezing which will allow the rain to freeze on contact, nonetheless, a minimal impact event for tonight with less than 0.1" of ice accumulation. The rest of us are to warm for freezing rain, and we will see less than 0.15" on average through the night.
The rainfall will taper to isolated showers by sunrise, then ending from west to east during the morning. Sunday will be mainly dry with highs in the upper 40s. Our next slug of organized rainfall is scheduled to arrive Sunday night. Rainfall amounts between 0.25"-0.5" are likely across the Twin Tiers.
A few showers linger during the day Monday, with the best chance during the morning. Temperatures will warm significantly on Monday, with highs in the low 60s. Our record high for Monday is 63 set back in 1979. We will be close to that record.
Tuesday is quiet and cooler with mostly cloudy skies.
Wednesday is worth watching, especially if you have plans to travel east. A storm will be intensifying to the east on Wednesday. There are numerous questions regarding the exact track as models are having a difficult time nailing down a solution. One of the most reliable models we use that typically performs well with our current weather pattern projects a storm track close enough to bring accumulating snow to the Tiers. At the same time, another reliable model has the storm tracking further east giving us a glancing blow with flurries for our eastern counties. Areas east of I-95 will be affected by this storm and travel delays are likely if you plan to travel out there. We will continue to monitor this storm very closely in the coming days.
Another surge of cold air will spill in behind the storm, providing the opportunity for a few lake-effect snow showers for Thursday and Friday, with high temperatures in the low 30s.