Tonight: 30% chance of occasional lake effect rain/snow showers and sprinkles. Tr-1” of snow is possible in persistent snow showers. Still breezy at times. Low: 29-36
Tuesday: Partly sunny to cloudy. 40% chance of lake effect rain and snow showers. Still breezy with wind chills in the low 30s. High: 40-45
Tuesday Night: Slight chance of sprinkles or flurries. Low: 25-32
• Below average temperatures persist this week.
• Chance of lake effect rain and snow showers tonight and Tuesday.
• Low pressure moves through Wednesday night & brings a good chance of snow.
• Could be some minor snow accumulations by Thursday morning; monitor our forecast.
• Rain and snow showers likely Thursday; snow could persist in Catskills.
• Friday and Saturday remain unsettled and cool.
Like it or not, it looks like we have officially entered the ‘Lake Effect Season’, folks. The air currently in place is cold enough aloft and the waters of Lake Ontario are ‘warm’ enough to allow for lake effect processes to occur. The persistent northwest flow of air over the lake will likely yield occasional lake rain and snow showers overnight tonight and Tuesday. There could be a coating to perhaps an inch of snow tonight in any persistent snow showers. Widespread accumulations will not occur. Lows will be in the upper 20s to low 30s.
It will remain chilly Tuesday with a 40% chance of lake effect rain showers mixed with some snow showers. Highs will be in the low to mid 40s. Winds could gust 20-25mph and the wind chill could drop as low as 30 degrees. Tuesday night will be cold with any sprinkles or flurries ending. Lows will be in the 20s to low 30s.
Wednesday may bring some sun early, but clouds will increase through the day. Highs will be around 41. Wednesday night a low pressure system will likely bring rain and snow. There is a chance that we could all see some minor accumulations of snow by Thursday morning. I’ll track the development and progression of the storm – it hasn’t even developed yet – and update this forecast accordingly.
Thursday the low pressure system will move eastward and any early snow showers should mix to and chance to a chance of rain showers through the day. We’ll keep a close eye on the Catskill region as the cold air could take a bit longer to clear out. This could possibly result in a slightly longer period of light snow. There is even a slight chance a wintry mix could develop in the elevated and deeper valleys. Highs will be in the low 40s.
The chance of rain and snow showers will stick with us Friday, but it will be lower at 30% Highs will be in the low to mid 40s.
Another storm could impact us this weekend and the chance of rain will increase to 40% Saturday. By Sunday the storm will move away and we should be left with mainly dry conditions and highs in the upper 40s to around 50.