We have a couple "interesting" storms in our future. The first Justin discussed in the previous blog entry. In this entry we'll take a peek into next week.
First off forecasts out 4-5 days can be very tricky and are generally less accurate than forecasts a day or two out from an event. That said we have the possibility for some sort of snow event slated for late Tuesday into Wednesday. The model that seems to have had the best performance this year is the ECMWF or European Model. Other models seem to eventually gravitate toward its solution. So.... here's the possible scenario:
A large trough digs into the northeast, bringing very cold air. So cold in fact, we may not make it out of the 30s next Tuesday and Wednesday. A distrubance rounds the bottom of that trough and moves up the east coast. If this model is correct, and the precipitation and cold air line up, we could be looking at accumulating snow... not only for the hills but the valleys as well. How much we get (if we get any at all) is still up in the air. Hopefully future model runs will iron out all the details. Just for fun here are the top 5 snowfalls for the month of October.
6.8" 31st 1993
4.7" 30th 1993
4.7" 22nd 1988
1.7" 19th 1972
1.3" 20th 1952