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Icy weather possible at times today

Published: Dec. 17, 2021 at 5:44 PM EST|Updated: Dec. 18, 2021 at 5:00 AM EST
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Saturday: 100% chance of rain, snow, freezing rain and/or sleet. Tr-1″ snow is possible north/northeast. Icy conditions develop. Ice accretion: Glaze-0.05″ for many areas, but 0.10-0.25″ with up to a localized 0.33″ possible in the Catskills and NEPA. Greatest risk of icing is east/southeast and in any deep valleys. Please monitor the forecast. High: 32-37

Forecast Discussion:

A winter storm will bring rain, snow, sleet and freezing rain to the area starting early Saturday morning. Temperatures start out in the low 30s.

TEMPERATURES NEAR/AT FREEZING
TEMPERATURES NEAR/AT FREEZING(WBNG)

The forecast trend is to bring some light snow/light wintry mix in before 7am from the southwest and as the storm progresses east into the area, the snow pushes north/northeast all the while being replaced with the transition precipitation including sleet and freezing rain. Sleet and freezing rain are both possible. I’m leaning more toward freezing rain, with some limited sleet. Remember, icing develops on all untreated surfaces within a short period of time, especially if the surface is already 32° or colder.

PRECIPITATION ARRIVES EARLY
PRECIPITATION ARRIVES EARLY(WBNG)

As the day wears on, warmer air slides in from the southwest and should change any ice to rain. The freezing rain/sleet could get stuck in the Catskills and Poconos leading to a greater chance of significant travel issues/ice accretion; especially in deeper valleys. Ice accretions for most of the area will be less than 0.05″, but I think with a southeast wind stuck in the Catskills and Poconos, there could be icing as high as 0.25″ locally. A few spots could potentially, depending on how the surface temps stay locally, and how the precipitation develops, reach 0.33″ of ice. This would make travel dangerous and impossible. Please understand that a small shift in the storm track, and above freezing air aloft, could have dramatic impacts on the forecast.

Please download the Storm Track 12 weather app for more detailed forecast information.

MIXED BAG THROUGH MIDDAY
MIXED BAG THROUGH MIDDAY(WBNG)
RAIN FOR MOST; ICE GET PUSHED EAST
RAIN FOR MOST; ICE GET PUSHED EAST(WBNG)
LIGHT ICE FOR MOST AREAS, BIT MORE EAST
LIGHT ICE FOR MOST AREAS, BIT MORE EAST(WBNG)

Sunday will be colder with some snow showers around early in the day and Monday through Wednesday of next week looks fairly quiet with seasonable weather.