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Big changes coming this weekend

WIDESPREAD RAIN EXPECTED
WIDESPREAD RAIN EXPECTED(WBNG)
Published: Dec. 31, 2021 at 5:45 PM EST|Updated: Jan. 1, 2022 at 5:00 AM EST
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NEW YEARS DAY: Unseasonably warm. 30% chance of showers through mid afternoon. Rain chance increases to 90% later in the day. Rain: 0.10-0.20″. High: 48-54

Saturday Night: Rain and some wintry mix possible, especially N/NW toward morning. Wide range in temperatures. See graphic below. Low: 34-43

Forecast Discussion:

There is some uncertainty in the arrival of rain Saturday. We’re electing to keep the chance of rain around 30-40% into the mid afternoon. We feel more confident that the widespread rain arrives in the late afternoon into the evening. The chance of rain increases to 90%. Rainfall ranges from 0.10-0.33″, for TOTAL rain 0.25-0.50″. There will be no flooding issues from rainfall.

FEW MIDDAY SHOWERS
FEW MIDDAY SHOWERS(WBNG)
25 PLUS DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE
25 PLUS DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE(WBNG)
WIDESPREAD RAIN
WIDESPREAD RAIN(WBNG)

We’ve been tracking the timing of a cold front for Sunday all week long and details are becoming clearer. Early day highs are expected near and southeast of Binghamton in the 40-45 range, but W/NW of Binghamton highs will likely only be in the mid and upper 30s because the cold front is expected to be draped through the area early in the day preventing the warm air from getting that way. We’re still keeping a chance of rain/snow showers in the forecast although we do expect dry periods. There is also new support from a period of some scattered freezing rain or sleet early Sunday into late Sunday morning. See the graphic below for ‘most likely’ area of freezing rain. Temperatures will drop substantially through the day into the teens overnight.

STRONG COLD FRONT VISITS
STRONG COLD FRONT VISITS(WBNG)
TEMPERATURES FALL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES FALL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON(WBNG)
RISK OF FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY MORNING
RISK OF FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY MORNING(WBNG)

Monday will be cold with some lake flurries possible. Highs stay in the upper teens to low 20s. Temperatures rubber band upward again Tuesday and Wednesday into the upper 30s. There continues to be a lack of any sustained cold weather. December 2021 will likely end up in the top 5 of the warmest December’s on record for Binghamton. Records go back 70 years.

Late next week, Thursday or Friday, we’re monitoring the potential of a storm moving into the Northeast/Great Lakes. This may bring some rain, snow or even a wintry mix.