Our computer model projects a win for the New York Jets when they play the New England Patriots at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, September 24 at 1:00 PM ET -- for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

The Patriots ranked 17th in scoring offense (21.4 points per game) and 10th in scoring defense (20.4 points allowed per game) last year. While the Jets ranked fourth-worst in the NFL in scoring offense with 17.4 points per game last season, it was a different story on the other side of the ball, as they ranked fourth-best (18.6 points per game allowed).

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Jets vs. Patriots Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Jets (+2.5) Over (35) Jets 25, Patriots 16

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Jets Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Jets, based on the moneyline, is 45.5%.
  • New York covered eight times in 17 chances against the spread last season.
  • The Jets had an ATS record of 6-6 when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs last year.
  • In New York games last season, combined scoring went over the point total five times.
  • Last season, Jets games resulted in an average scoring total of 41.6, which is 6.6 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Patriots Betting Info

  • The Patriots have a 59.2% chance to win this game based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • New England covered seven times in 17 matchups with a spread last season.
  • The Patriots had an ATS record of 5-2-1 when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites last season.
  • Last season, eight New England games went over the point total.
  • The point total average for Patriots games last season was 42.5, 7.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Jets vs. Patriots 2022 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
New England 21.4 20.4 19.5 17.9 23.1 22.7
New York 17.4 18.6 18.6 19.5 16.3 17.8

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